Shadow Energy Accounting · Machine Feed Rate · v2.0

ENERGY/
DEATH

1 barrel crude oil = 6.1 GJ = 1,694 kWh
deaths/barrel → GJ/death → kWh/death → human-lifetimes of power per kill
Global production 102.6M bbl/day
Energy/day 625.9 PJ/day
1 bbl = 6.1 GJ = 1,694 kWh
Avg human lifespan energy* ~3,285 kWh/yr
*US avg consumption per capita
GJ extracted per death · Tier 1 (war direct, Iraq mid)
300K deaths · 145B bbl · 6.1 GJ/bbl
kWh per death · Tier 1
= GJ × 277.78 kWh/GJ
Human-years of electricity per death
at 3,285 kWh/person/yr global avg
Atomic bombs equivalent per death
Little Boy = 63 TJ · per death yield
// Core conversion chain
E_per_death = (reserves_bbl / deaths) × GJ_per_bbl
             = (1 / deaths_per_barrel) × 6.1 GJ

// Tier 1 · Iraq war direct
E_t1 = (145×10⁹ bbl / 300,000) × 6.1 = 2.944×10⁶ GJ/death = 817.9 GWh/death

// Tier 3 · Full indirect attribution
E_t3 = (1.5×10¹² bbl / 100,000,000) × 6.1 = 91,500 GJ/death = 25.4 GWh/death

// The machine's feed rate
feed_rate = global_production × GJ_per_bbl × deaths_per_bbl
          = ~6 deaths/hour (Tier 1 war rate, Iraq reserves)
Per-Conflict Energy Accounting
all tiers · GJ/death · kWh/death · human-power-years · war duration
Conflict Deaths (mid) Reserves (Bbbl) GJ / death kWh / death Human-yrs / death City-days / death Nuke-equiv / death
GJ Per Death · Over Time
log₁₀ scale · 95% CI bars · OLS regression · mean line
Energy per death by tier — log scale
Feed rate — deaths per unit energy extracted
What Does One Death Buy?
Tier 1 · Iraq direct · 2.94M GJ per death
🏠
US homes
powered for 1 year
🚗
EVs
fully charged
human lifetimes
of electricity (global avg)
🌆
days NYC
fully powered
🛸
moon missions
energy equivalent
💧
tonnes of water
boiled from 0°C
🔋
Tesla Megapacks
fully charged
🌍
seconds of
global energy demand
OLS Slope β₁ (log GJ/death ~ year)
log-GJ per year trend
Intercept β₀
at year 1991
variance explained
Mean log₁₀(GJ/death)
geometric mean GJ/death
Std Dev (log)
±σ in log space
[1] 1 barrel crude oil = 6.1 GJ = 1,694 kWh (Oak Ridge / NCSU / ScienceDirect consensus)   [2] Global avg electricity consumption: ~3,285 kWh/person/yr (IEA 2023)   [3] US home avg: ~10,500 kWh/yr (EIA 2023)   [4] Tesla Model 3 battery: 75 kWh   [5] NYC energy consumption: ~4,300 GWh/month → ~143 GWh/day   [6] Apollo 11 total mission energy: ~400 GJ   [7] Tesla Megapack: 3.9 MWh = 0.0039 GWh   [8] Global energy demand 2024: ~620 EJ/yr → ~19.65 TJ/sec   [9] Boiling water from 0°C: 4.186 kJ/kg × 100K = 418.6 kJ/kg → 1 GJ boils ~2,390 tonnes   [10] War deaths and reserve data: Brown Univ. CoW / IBC / Lancet / EIA / OPEC (see v1.0 model)   INTERPRETATION: The energy-per-death figure is not the cost of the war. It is the energy the machine extracts per unit of human life it destroys. The higher the number, the more "efficient" the machine is at converting death into power. Iraq is the highest-efficiency war ever fought.